Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Wu vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48140e3355aba0b34e62088bd7c22f94ace592580fc58b35162a1c3f95e82d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuof Wu, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Wu | 41c | 757.49$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.94 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Djokovic | 44c | 455.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Djokovic | 60c | 406.13$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.83 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Djokovic | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Djokovic | 71c | 314.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.05 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Wu | 45c | 313.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Djokovic | 60c | 164.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…2d65backed Wu | 67c | 101$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Wu | 47c | 100.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Djokovic | 68c | 97.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Djokovic | 68c | 82.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wu | 14c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Wu | 42c | 73.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Wu | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wu | 58c | 69.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…4007backed Djokovic | 39c | 63.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Djokovic | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Wu | 42c | 56.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Djokovic | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Wu | 43c | 35.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a3…e23dbacked Djokovic | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Wu | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Djokovic | 56c | 22.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Wu vs Djokovicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wu vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Wu vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5)Wu won
- Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
- Wu vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Yibing Wu vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Yibing Wu vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.