Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Wu vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290fdd304f4e1367769a034813c094708627f7897924c485759a715af1098fb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Wu, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Wu | 29c | 727.3$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Djokovic | 70c | 709.79$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Wu | 34c | 613.63$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Djokovic | 68c | 410.26$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Djokovic | 66c | 287.11$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Djokovic | 78c | 207.46$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Djokovic | 66c | 201.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…def8backed Wu | 35c | 182.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Wu | 27c | 159.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…4007backed Djokovic | 70c | 157.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Wu | 33c | 151.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Djokovic | 66c | 123.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Wu | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Wu | 36c | 98.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…32e0backed Djokovic | 75c | 94.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Djokovic | 68c | 93.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Wu | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Wu | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Djokovic | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…2bcbbacked Djokovic | 75c | 67.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Wu | 27c | 52.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe1…af91backed Djokovic | 72c | 49.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Wu | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 21.1%151 W · 565 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wu | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Djokovic | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Wu vs Djokovicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wu vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Wu vs DjokovicWu won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5)Wu won
- Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
- Wu vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Yibing Wu vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Yibing Wu vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.