Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44636c44211d0d0ea981b234d72bc18c1118633204eec6122413165950251fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,377 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 45c | 2,898$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.17 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 1,743$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 36c | 1,562$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.99 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 799.16$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.65 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 32c | 780$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.4 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 45c | 669.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.54 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 437$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.75 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Under | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 56c | 166.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Under | 58c | 155.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Under | 58c | 154.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 133.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 124.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 58c | 120.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3870…c3dbbacked Under | 54c | 113.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 44c | 112.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 44c | 105.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 58c | 92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 63c | 88.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 43c | 84.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 75.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 62.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Under | 58c | 59.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 33c | 49.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 48.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 44c | 46.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 37c | 42.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Under | 57c | 39.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 57c | 39.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…7df7backed Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…a481backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 31.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 25.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Under | 63c | 22.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Under | 57c | 21.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Under | 63c | 20.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.