Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x048712851f82d470bd5be468903dbef342ffe630a00bc92113eca4491d42752f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,008 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 3,315$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 2,931$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.29 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 50c | 1,999$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 46c | 1,735$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,261$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 1,205$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.68 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 58c | 917.61$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.99 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 499.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 33c | 365.26$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 67c | 302.37$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 259.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 67c | 224.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 198.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 67c | 194.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 33c | 184.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…031fbacked Under | 36c | 158.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 67c | 156.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 67c | 149.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 44c | 146.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 34c | 143.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 130.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 67c | 126.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 114.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 69c | 96.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 35c | 91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…6a61backed Over | 57c | 89.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…735abacked Over | 67c | 89.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Under | 40c | 76.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 61.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 35c | 60.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 65c | 59.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 48c | 58.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Over | 56c | 49.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 34c | 48.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 34c | 46.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…a2f1backed Over | 51c | 39.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 35c | 39.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 32.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 24.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 52c | 23.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Over | 54c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.