Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4477cbf93b55674745cfc4df1a3955c00c6a03bb032cf77e6c88ab319ed00361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcząca Esportsof Orbit Anonymo, Barcząca Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Barcząca Esports | 49c | 1,586$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.63 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…66b6backed Orbit Anonymo | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Barcząca Esports | 46c | 980.97$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.29 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 60c | 836.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Orbit Anonymo | 51c | 495.78$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Orbit Anonymo | 49c | 458.82$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Orbit Anonymo | 4c | 397.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 47c | 343.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…5267backed Barcząca Esports | 46c | 205.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 155 | 71%110 W · 45 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Orbit Anonymo | 35c | 204.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 230 | 53.9%124 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Barcząca Esports | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Orbit Anonymo | 52c | 91.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Barcząca Esports | 58c | 67.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 58.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Orbit Anonymo | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Barcząca Esports | 64c | 46.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Orbit Anonymo | 65c | 41.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Orbit Anonymo | 63c | 41.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Orbit Anonymo | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 209 | 67%140 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Barcząca Esports | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Orbit Anonymo | 66c | 38.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Orbit Anonymo | 48c | 32.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Orbit Anonymo | 64c | 29.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 444 | 61.7%274 W · 170 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Barcząca Esports | 39c | 25.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Barcząca Esports | 58c | 25.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Orbit Anonymo | 54c | 23.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…866bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…3cdfbacked Orbit Anonymo | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonBarcząca Esports won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports - Game 1 WinnerBarcząca Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.