Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfffdfc964b07c13b2c3c23c7fa4a5ac9a285aa503ca95db55f6a07f954e50cd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcząca Esportsof Orbit Anonymo, Barcząca Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 811.79$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Barcząca Esports | 72c | 693.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Orbit Anonymo | 27c | 533.69$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed Orbit Anonymo | 40c | 500$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 273 | 40.7%111 W · 162 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…c7b3backed Barcząca Esports | 56c | 359.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 162.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Orbit Anonymo | 40c | 137.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Orbit Anonymo | 32c | 128.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Barcząca Esports | 45c | 111.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Barcząca Esports | 69c | 107.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Barcząca Esports | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 29c | 69.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Barcząca Esports | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Barcząca Esports | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Orbit Anonymo | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Barcząca Esports | 66c | 45.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Barcząca Esports | 73c | 36.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Orbit Anonymo | 34c | 32.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 30.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…18f2backed Barcząca Esports | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +13.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Barcząca Esports | 73c | 27.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 136 | 64%87 W · 49 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed Barcząca Esports | 66c | 26.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Barcząca Esports | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Barcząca Esports | 74c | 24.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 444 | 61.7%274 W · 170 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Barcząca Esports | 58c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Barcząca Esports | 69c | 20.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…5937backed Barcząca Esports | 73c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonBarcząca Esports won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports - Game 2 WinnerBarcząca Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.