Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4d63dd94065ef05dd4eaf582b4e7387a22e9ef86d0a77cfd759f07ca1d3e028
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcząca Esportsof Orbit Anonymo, Barcząca Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 53c | 1,792$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.9 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Barcząca Esports | 47c | 1,715$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.95 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Orbit Anonymo | 34c | 1,574$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.69 | 1,207 | 40%483 W · 724 L | -63.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Barcząca Esports | 65c | 1,388$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.48 | 433 | 46.7%202 W · 231 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Orbit Anonymo | 34c | 405.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.15 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 824 | 54.9%452 W · 372 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Barcząca Esports | 66c | 250$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Barcząca Esports | 63c | 224.93$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Barcząca Esports | 72c | 162.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c248backed Barcząca Esports | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…c47bbacked Barcząca Esports | 45c | 147.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…5267backed Barcząca Esports | 72c | 139.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Orbit Anonymo | 34c | 113.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Orbit Anonymo | 32c | 111.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 554 | 28.7%159 W · 395 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 20c | 104.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Barcząca Esports | 70c | 90.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 1,536 | 43.8%672 W · 864 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 88.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…5850backed Orbit Anonymo | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Orbit Anonymo | 50c | 83.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 168 | 66.7%112 W · 56 L | +23.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc206…adf8backed Orbit Anonymo | 48c | 74.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Barcząca Esports | 45c | 73.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 68.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +13.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Barcząca Esports | 46c | 61.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Barcząca Esports | 45c | 57.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Orbit Anonymo | 47c | 56.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Orbit Anonymo | 38c | 49.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1,536 | 54.8%842 W · 694 L | +75.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Barcząca Esports | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 567 | 43.7%248 W · 319 L | -44.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…645bbacked Barcząca Esports | 57c | 44.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Barcząca Esports | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,622 | 46.7%757 W · 865 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Barcząca Esports | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 249 | 40.2%100 W · 149 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed Orbit Anonymo | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Barcząca Esports | 46c | 35.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Barcząca Esports | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…dc55backed Barcząca Esports | 46c | 30.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orbit Anonymo | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Orbit Anonymo | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 938 | 44.3%416 W · 522 L | -31.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Orbit Anonymo | 39c | 29.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 29.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Orbit Anonymo | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 849 | 49.4%419 W · 430 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Barcząca Esports | 70c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Orbit Anonymo | 59c | 27.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Barcząca Esports | 56c | 25.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Barcząca Esports | 46c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Barcząca Esports | 56c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Barcząca Esports | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564a…8871backed Barcząca Esports | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Barcząca Esports | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,054 | 47.2%497 W · 557 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports - Game 1 WinnerBarcząca Esports won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Barcząca Esports - Game 2 WinnerBarcząca Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.