Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Seattle Redhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4516aedc6182ebd7ae9b3bc739bebe5e8c26fe80e9f6fe0776d8641e7f8c8c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, Seattle Redhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6600…e5c6backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 2,239$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Redhawks | 10c | 2,182$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Redhawks | 4c | 1,810$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Seattle Redhawks | 14c | 1,203$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Seattle Redhawks | 14c | 892.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Redhawks | 7c | 677.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 14c | 533.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Seattle Redhawks | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Seattle Redhawks | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…3f41backed Seattle Redhawks | 17c | 397.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 363$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Seattle Redhawks | 10c | 362.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 313$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 208.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Seattle Redhawks | 7c | 200.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Seattle Redhawks | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 117.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Seattle Redhawks | 16c | 82.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Seattle Redhawks | 15c | 68.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Seattle Redhawksthis page
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-13.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-14.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.