Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x451b084d03cc18f83030d2b87719aec94dfd14300c439dd81606f7a8207b1c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 3,227$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.68 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 12c | 808.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 19c | 232.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 74c | 128.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…d58fbacked Over | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…b421backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 74c | 48.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 78c | 29.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.