TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Taawoun Saudi Clubof Al Ahli Saudi Club, Al Taawoun Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,649 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f1…9ff1backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club63c1,020$640 inWon+$380.395763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Ahli Saudi Club37c821.51$305 inLost-$305.472,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club72c430.81$310 inWon+$120.595,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Al Ahli Saudi Club24c296$71 inLost-$71.045731.6%18 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Al Ahli Saudi Club27c112.88$30 inLost-$303151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab9…cc4bbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club28c105.52$30 inLost-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club66c86.72$57 inWon+$29.2728253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club73c59.73$43 inWon+$16.4354354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Al Ahli Saudi Club24c53$13 inLost-$12.7217658%102 W · 74 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club68c44.11$30 inWon+$14.119141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club63c31.4$20 inWon+$11.6220860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club74c29.73$22 inWon+$7.8447860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club76c25.05$19 inWon+$6.0515455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.