Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c934b16f42beec60932fb69418e52fe3c285e01a506618dcb09a75ad00667b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 17,750$9,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,988.6 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 45c | 3,200$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 47c | 2,552$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.3 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 29c | 1,927$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.11 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,593$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.59 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 45c | 1,469$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.13 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 1,095$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 46c | 999.84$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.92 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 946.4$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 42c | 749.32$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.71 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 622.22$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 54c | 591.65$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 45c | 520$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 45c | 519.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 45c | 519.23$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.65 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…6a56backed Under | 47c | 468.04$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 55c | 458.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 362.15$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.86 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 45c | 312$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 45c | 312$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 49c | 308.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 48c | 293.89$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 251.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 189$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 11c | 168.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 56c | 160$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 58c | 159.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 63c | 153.64$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 153.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Over | 71c | 109.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 48c | 97.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 58c | 81.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 58c | 79.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 41c | 76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 66.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448f…2fbdbacked Under | 43c | 59.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Under | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 68c | 47.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…1826backed Over | 50c | 40.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 58c | 38.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed Under | 53c | 36.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…7c24backed Over | 52c | 35.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 60c | 27.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 23.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 59c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 59c | 19.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.