Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x452162a0c19cf06d9c833a97410d4ae0657ef235fdf8bc1ee6b59d25640ff226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakutou Brothersof paiN Gaming, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN Gaming | 40c | 3,240$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.52 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yakutou Brothers | 54c | 1,500$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked paiN Gaming | 38c | 1,285$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.13 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Yakutou Brothers | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed paiN Gaming | 22c | 759.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Yakutou Brothers | 64c | 524.6$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 439.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Yakutou Brothers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yakutou Brothers | 67c | 314.93$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked paiN Gaming | 34c | 291.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked paiN Gaming | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 165$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked paiN Gaming | 47c | 163.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yakutou Brothers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yakutou Brothers | 65c | 84.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked paiN Gaming | 48c | 68.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked paiN Gaming | 35c | 48.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 41.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Yakutou Brothers | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 68c | 22.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.