Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7358ee5110acb12b3b292c86ec012804ab298dd6dc04d8c99d5cfb133e82fbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakutou Brothersof paiN Gaming, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed paiN Gaming | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.99 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed paiN Gaming | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.89 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakutou Brothers | 54c | 6,587$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.67 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 5,307$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.79 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yakutou Brothers | 46c | 4,189$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.78 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 4,167$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 49c | 3,738$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.97 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 3,722$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.14 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked paiN Gaming | 50c | 1,002$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.23 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yakutou Brothers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 881.46$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.45 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed paiN Gaming | 49c | 775.51$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked paiN Gaming | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Yakutou Brothers | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked paiN Gaming | 57c | 421.56$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked paiN Gaming | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed paiN Gaming | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 375$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 363.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Yakutou Brothers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Yakutou Brothers | 57c | 328.28$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 320.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Yakutou Brothers | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed paiN Gaming | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Yakutou Brothers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Yakutou Brothers | 57c | 179.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked paiN Gaming | 39c | 176.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 168.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Yakutou Brothers | 54c | 164.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked paiN Gaming | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed paiN Gaming | 47c | 95.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed paiN Gaming | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed paiN Gaming | 48c | 57.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817e…7c6cbacked paiN Gaming | 52c | 46.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed paiN Gaming | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Yakutou Brothers | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yakutou Brothers | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…1dc4backed Yakutou Brothers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group AYakutou Brothers won
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.