Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a91235f79c15eeaf7bb612ccc9e4c100dd7ada2baf629a7cc8f202de1311132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakutou Brothersof paiN Gaming, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 7,544$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed paiN Gaming | 66c | 6,689$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.81 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc5…197fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 6,550$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,546.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked paiN Gaming | 51c | 5,346$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.29 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed paiN Gaming | 62c | 4,195$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.63 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yakutou Brothers | 51c | 3,775$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.05 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed paiN Gaming | 56c | 3,066$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.08 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Gaming | 73c | 3,037$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.28 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 2,831$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked paiN Gaming | 65c | 2,281$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.18 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed paiN Gaming | 46c | 1,500$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed paiN Gaming | 18c | 1,465$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.58 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 1,265$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.32 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked paiN Gaming | 10c | 1,233$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed paiN Gaming | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 1,160$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 22c | 1,122$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.78 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…2c00backed Yakutou Brothers | 54c | 1,121$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yakutou Brothers | 42c | 1,120$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN Gaming | 53c | 750.25$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.2 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN Gaming | 51c | 746.4$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.39 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed paiN Gaming | 69c | 722.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Yakutou Brothers | 57c | 708.89$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.61 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 48c | 597.13$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.65 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 514.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.91 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked paiN Gaming | 68c | 500$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.08 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 461.35$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.68 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 452.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yakutou Brothers | 20c | 410$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked Yakutou Brothers | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 25cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Yakutou Brothers | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Yakutou Brothers | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 28cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 62c | 370.79$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed paiN Gaming | 57c | 323.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed paiN Gaming | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Yakutou Brothers | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 290$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yakutou Brothers | 57c | 247.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked paiN Gaming | 47c | 241.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 232.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked paiN Gaming | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed paiN Gaming | 66c | 191.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked paiN Gaming | 59c | 180.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 158.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed paiN Gaming | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yakutou Brothers | 72c | 114.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 112.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked paiN Gaming | 70c | 110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed paiN Gaming | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed paiN Gaming | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ca3backed Yakutou Brothers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Yakutou Brothers | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakutou Brothers | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Yakutou Brothers | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed paiN Gaming | 74c | 70.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 70c | 66.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked paiN Gaming | 55c | 63.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc98…b902backed Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 62.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 61.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed paiN Gaming | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Yakutou Brothers | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 58.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 56.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 44.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed paiN Gaming | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…1562backed Yakutou Brothers | 49c | 41.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b817backed paiN Gaming | 55c | 38.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Yakutou Brothers | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Yakutou Brothers | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…237abacked paiN Gaming | 50c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 29.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group AYakutou Brothers won
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.