CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45221173f4e35cb863a48e707b3d7bc3fd5f43cbb8c59baa46cdd10c8409ad57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Prestige
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Misa Esports | 49c | 2,111$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.08 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Prestige | 56c | 1,917$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Misa Esports | 53c | 1,647$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.91 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Prestige | 52c | 773.18$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.6 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Prestige | 40c | 726.7$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.18 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 51c | 510.29$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.65 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed Misa Esports | 64c | 384.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Prestige | 46c | 382.85$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.29 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Prestige | 48c | 340.79$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Prestige | 57c | 337.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Prestige | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Misa Esports | 66c | 255.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Misa Esports | 58c | 207.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Misa Esports | 61c | 142.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed Prestige | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Prestige | 54c | 96.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Prestige | 39c | 89.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Prestige | 49c | 88.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Prestige | 60c | 63.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked Prestige | 25c | 60.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…5cfbbacked Prestige | 43c | 56.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Prestige | 39c | 55.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Misa Esports | 46c | 55.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…4bdfbacked Prestige | 60c | 54.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Misa Esports | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Prestige | 39c | 48.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Prestige | 52c | 47.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Prestige | 55c | 44.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Misa Esports | 64c | 43.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Prestige | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Misa Esports | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Misa Esports | 61c | 40.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Prestige | 63c | 38.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Prestige | 64c | 38.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Misa Esports | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Prestige | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Prestige | 50c | 34.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Misa Esports | 70c | 34.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Prestige | 44c | 32.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Misa Esports | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Misa Esports | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Misa Esports | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Prestige | 40c | 26.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Prestige | 55c | 26.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Prestige | 41c | 25.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Prestige | 57c | 24.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…8698backed Misa Esports | 54c | 24.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Prestige | 56c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Prestige - Map 1 WinnerPrestige won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.