Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4575a9f61ca2617c6a1a9fc5b9f468a1b49e06747d624acd2473f0cbcf9091a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frites Esports Clubof Frites Esports Club, Once Upon A Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dd9…420fbacked Frites Esports Club | 72c | 8,361$6,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.18 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Once Upon A Team | 20c | 2,108$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.19 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Once Upon A Team | 19c | 2,005$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Once Upon A Team | 27c | 1,974$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.83 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Frites Esports Club | 79c | 1,937$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.58 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Once Upon A Team | 28c | 1,811$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.11 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Once Upon A Team | 19c | 1,320$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Once Upon A Team | 27c | 975.27$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.86 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Frites Esports Club | 76c | 899.99$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Once Upon A Team | 22c | 826.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Once Upon A Team | 30c | 754.76$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.43 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Once Upon A Team | 29c | 754$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.02 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 650.94$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Once Upon A Team | 26c | 519.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Once Upon A Team | 23c | 473.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Once Upon A Team | 24c | 462.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Once Upon A Team | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Once Upon A Team | 30c | 286.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Once Upon A Team | 27c | 281.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Frites Esports Club | 75c | 258.83$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Once Upon A Team | 23c | 247.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Once Upon A Team | 30c | 226.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Once Upon A Team | 25c | 208.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Once Upon A Team | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Frites Esports Club | 75c | 186.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Frites Esports Club | 77c | 159.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Once Upon A Team | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Once Upon A Team | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Frites Esports Club | 71c | 112.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Once Upon A Team | 20c | 108.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Once Upon A Team | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Frites Esports Club | 72c | 97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Once Upon A Team | 27c | 90.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5506backed Once Upon A Team | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Once Upon A Team | 19c | 79.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Frites Esports Club | 76c | 77.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Once Upon A Team | 30c | 68.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Once Upon A Team | 17c | 66.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Once Upon A Team | 25c | 50.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Frites Esports Club | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.