Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31cc85316f7783a515f5b070084725c740b5ec05263dce5738281464e0273403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Under | 76c | 12,759$9,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.98 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Over | 24c | 10,593$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.94 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Over | 17c | 3,367$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.6 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 78c | 1,932$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.99 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 13c | 1,779$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.27 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 24c | 1,771$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.97 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 13c | 1,763$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.14 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Over | 13c | 1,438$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…5280backed Over | 16c | 1,220$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 25c | 830.52$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 15c | 758.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fb36backed Over | 16c | 732$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 13c | 722.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 17c | 703$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Under | 77c | 623.4$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 22c | 560.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 22c | 438.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Over | 13c | 401.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 13c | 361.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 79c | 351.09$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 22c | 294.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Over | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 22c | 227.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Over | 19c | 199$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 33c | 191.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Over | 13c | 183.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 13c | 167.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Over | 13c | 163.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 76c | 129$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 23c | 110.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 23c | 104.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 14c | 97.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 22c | 90.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 22c | 81.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 79c | 71.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 173 | 42.2%73 W · 100 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Under | 78c | 66.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Under | 79c | 63.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 22c | 57.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…6eebbacked Under | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…ac07backed Under | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…9ee1backed Under | 77c | 40.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Under | 77c | 39.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 77c | 38.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 67c | 20.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Under | 77c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Under | 77c | 14.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 82 | 81.7%67 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)Frites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.