TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Gwangju: James McCabe vs Kaichi Uchida

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
James McCabeof James McCabe, Kaichi Uchida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Kaichi Uchida15c3,317$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.547,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kaichi Uchida14c3,101$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.528,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kaichi Uchida17c2,175$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.366,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Kaichi Uchida29c1,856$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked James McCabe63c1,061$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.731,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Kaichi Uchida14c1,060$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1138013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Kaichi Uchida37c1,042$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8729444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Kaichi Uchida14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401028.8%9 W · 93 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked James McCabe79c959.42$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked James McCabe71c730$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.718250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Kaichi Uchida11c634.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3612235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Kaichi Uchida31c536.73$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.398040%32 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kaichi Uchida29c488.49$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.663,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed James McCabe71c484.38$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4725250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked James McCabe72c409.66$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.72,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kaichi Uchida20c396.63$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.998,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kaichi Uchida17c396.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.13,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2aa…07f8backed Kaichi Uchida30c357.65$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Kaichi Uchida12c349.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.912227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Kaichi Uchida27c318.31$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9897141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed James McCabe72c300.42$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.121,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Kaichi Uchida34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.041,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Kaichi Uchida4c276$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0429241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked James McCabe72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4784963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed James McCabe72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4725957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed James McCabe73c269.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7723965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked James McCabe71c262.65$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.62,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kaichi Uchida28c260.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.87,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Kaichi Uchida29c241.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.921,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kaichi Uchida28c238.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9125342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Kaichi Uchida28c214.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9913450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed James McCabe71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Kaichi Uchida13c183.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6746453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kaichi Uchida8c179$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.322,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kaichi Uchida30c167.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.711,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked James McCabe70c157.8$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2456754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed James McCabe72c157.04$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9716560%99 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Kaichi Uchida8c151$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0811040.9%45 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed James McCabe71c139.37$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.421,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed James McCabe71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1321856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Kaichi Uchida21c104.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6822113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kaichi Uchida30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Kaichi Uchida28c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Kaichi Uchida27c99.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.87943%34 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2bf6…bf35backed Kaichi Uchida16c90.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Kaichi Uchida29c80.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3137230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa41…2239backed Kaichi Uchida25c80.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0915751%80 W · 77 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Kaichi Uchida28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Kaichi Uchida30c79.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.959839.8%39 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Kaichi Uchida18c78.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.192,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Kaichi Uchida28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed James McCabe72c72.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2671165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74af…bc8bbacked James McCabe72c70.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.828872.7%64 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked James McCabe71c70.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.382,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed James McCabe71c69.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0712748.8%62 W · 65 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae74…e429backed Kaichi Uchida31c61.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked Kaichi Uchida28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810751.4%55 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed James McCabe70c58.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4270456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Kaichi Uchida29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.525745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kaichi Uchida28c49.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked James McCabe71c46.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5989364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72af…c833backed Kaichi Uchida30c45.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83450%17 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+39.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Kaichi Uchida29c42.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2823949.4%118 W · 121 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed James McCabe72c40.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3988560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Kaichi Uchida29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed Kaichi Uchida28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411949.6%59 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Kaichi Uchida28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.413553.3%72 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed James McCabe80c37.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5618152.5%95 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed James McCabe70c35.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5231463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed James McCabe79c33.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.829,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked James McCabe75c30.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7463052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked James McCabe70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4211846.6%55 W · 63 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked James McCabe71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0314761.2%90 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked James McCabe70c23.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0774955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked James McCabe75c23.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.857146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked James McCabe72c20.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.852,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed James McCabe71c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9675262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed James McCabe70c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.071,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff77…1be5backed James McCabe71c16.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.828741.4%36 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked James McCabe70c15.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6413557.8%78 W · 57 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed James McCabe72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.254050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.