Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45d303c505d72f6a73ee68560c6ac4a73b2899d2bd410d72830ed29946c8973f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern Wildcatsof Indiana Hoosiers, Northwestern Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,086 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe216…7448backed Northwestern Wildcats | 53c | 930.82$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.17 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 804.23$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Northwestern Wildcats | 50c | 334.05$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.03 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 291.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 36c | 247.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4729…8cfdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 17c | 199.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Northwestern Wildcats | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Northwestern Wildcats | 50c | 65.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 55.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Northwestern Wildcats | 54c | 55.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern Wildcats | 52c | 53.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Northwestern Wildcats | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Northwestern Wildcats | 52c | 28.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Northwestern Wildcats | 60c | 18.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)this page
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana HoosiersNorthwestern Wildcats won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.