Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dcec5e52be3e3fbdd709f350cd5718d99975ae0fa6e2561b9251cee08d98ccd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern Wildcatsof Northwestern Wildcats, Indiana Hoosiers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,234 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 3,271$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 58c | 2,386$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.06 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661b…17babacked Indiana Hoosiers | 64c | 2,322$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 2,137$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.16 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 24c | 1,265$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 59c | 1,132$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.29 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 1,061$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.34 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 29c | 855.86$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Northwestern Wildcats | 31c | 671.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 68c | 643$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.97 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 35c | 620.73$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 66c | 556.28$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 517.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.8 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 42c | 416.36$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Indiana Hoosiers | 70c | 388.34$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.84 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern Wildcats | 70c | 325.78$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 71c | 314.72$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Hoosiers | 62c | 271.31$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Northwestern Wildcats | 30c | 241.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Northwestern Wildcats | 49c | 223.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 175.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 70c | 141.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Northwestern Wildcats | 44c | 141$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Northwestern Wildcats | 63c | 138.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Northwestern Wildcats | 29c | 135.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 59c | 110.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Northwestern Wildcats | 28c | 104.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 56c | 103.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 30c | 102.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 71c | 100.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed Indiana Hoosiers | 61c | 99.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Northwestern Wildcats | 41c | 99.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 95.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern Wildcats | 73c | 92.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Indiana Hoosiers | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Northwestern Wildcats | 74c | 79.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Northwestern Wildcats | 61c | 78.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757e…8128backed Northwestern Wildcats | 29c | 68.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 42c | 68.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Northwestern Wildcats | 51c | 66.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 36c | 62.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 43c | 62.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern Wildcats | 52c | 59.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Indiana Hoosiers | 18c | 54.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…c6b9backed Northwestern Wildcats | 25c | 50.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Northwestern Wildcats | 30c | 49.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…023dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 44.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Indiana Hoosiers | 71c | 39.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Northwestern Wildcats | 32c | 37.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Northwestern Wildcats | 30c | 37.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Indiana Hoosiers | 80c | 37.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 71c | 30.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed Indiana Hoosiers | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 64c | 26.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…32d8backed Indiana Hoosiers | 79c | 19.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Indiana Hoosiers | 71c | 19.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…9d70backed Indiana Hoosiers | 78c | 19.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiersthis page
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.