Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46108b253a384f3f5207b4e4f4320560df1f7f18329707bdad45462b992cb7d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Kamilla Rakhimova, Karolina Muchova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 6c | 5,000$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.82 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…0015backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 12c | 3,001$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.12 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 7c | 2,523$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 8c | 2,500$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…48d7backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 12c | 2,100$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 12c | 2,077$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 8c | 2,052$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 2c | 1,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…1c34backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 1,503$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 377 | 44.8%169 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 1,487$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 5c | 1,150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 1,050$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…6c9fbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 12c | 1,010$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 606 | 43.1%261 W · 345 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 9c | 875.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 5c | 874.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 12c | 508.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 10c | 499.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 10c | 447.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 4c | 389.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 5c | 225.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 218.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 8c | 195.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 10c | 186.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…18d3backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 12c | 170.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 9c | 119.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 104.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchovathis page
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5)Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.