Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Ohio Bobcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4639b106b74e81998d467bf1b6ed545ea598aca77b460429c83142d3a7ba118b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Bobcatsof Western Michigan Broncos, Ohio Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Western Michigan Broncos | 7c | 1,891$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 20c | 888$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Western Michigan Broncos | 4c | 600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Ohio Bobcats | 78c | 386.77$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Western Michigan Broncos | 22c | 386.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Western Michigan Broncos | 19c | 330$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 5c | 294$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 20c | 274.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 18c | 199.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Ohio Bobcats | 80c | 151$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Ohio Bobcats | 79c | 125.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Western Michigan Broncos | 21c | 109.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Western Michigan Broncos | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Michigan Broncos | 23c | 77.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Ohio Bobcats | 77c | 67.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Western Michigan Broncos | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…8649backed Western Michigan Broncos | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Michigan Broncos | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Ohio Bobcats | 80c | 48.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio Bobcats | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed Ohio Bobcats | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio Bobcats | 80c | 26.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Ohio Bobcatsthis page
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-9.5)Ohio Bobcats won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.