Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Gabriela Ruse vs Zeynep Sonmez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464214e06ecd0e61a3bf48c7c0eab21d93fca73bf85e27cebe9230b7ed31211e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruseof Ruse, Sonmez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2596…0431backed Sonmez | 54c | 1,004$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ruse | 38c | 726.22$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.43 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sonmez | 65c | 457.84$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.46 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sonmez | 38c | 415.42$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…fb6bbacked Sonmez | 65c | 361.51$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Ruse | 16c | 284.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Sonmez | 40c | 281.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ruse | 50c | 267.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Ruse | 57c | 261.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Sonmez | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Ruse | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Ruse | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Ruse | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Ruse | 64c | 146.29$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Ruse | 74c | 134.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sonmez | 28c | 75.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Sonmez | 61c | 68.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1eb…ec16backed Ruse | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Sonmez | 40c | 60.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Ruse | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…8323backed Sonmez | 65c | 53.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Sonmez | 27c | 47.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Ruse | 27c | 39.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Sonmez | 46c | 36.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Ruse | 59c | 34.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Ruse | 61c | 32.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Ruse | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Sonmez | 43c | 31.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Ruse | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Sonmez | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Ruse | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Gabriela Ruse vs Zeynep Sonmezthis page
- Ruse vs. Sonmez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruse vs SonmezSonmez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.