TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,024 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team1c10,772$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5280443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed BetBoom Team42c3,766$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.614854.2%26 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed Team Liquid60c3,008$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.914141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked BetBoom Team46c2,077$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.3473841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid49c1,568$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.4756848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid50c1,183$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.9555157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid58c1,169$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.931,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba10…e85ebacked BetBoom Team1c1,020$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team48c932.27$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4481,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid45c669.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3647660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked BetBoom Team52c654.63$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4155251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed BetBoom Team47c612.08$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.113844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team43c434.03$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.611,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed BetBoom Team17c297.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid66c202.32$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked BetBoom Team63c199.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6791356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Team Liquid48c191.95$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8722534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed BetBoom Team55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Team Liquid44c168$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3354445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe2d…77b4backed Team Liquid47c106.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.34757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x009e…7974backed BetBoom Team50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6251140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a3…9a02backed BetBoom Team47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5580742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed BetBoom Team31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3117152%89 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9922654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed BetBoom Team23c89.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4472637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7843…eb6cbacked BetBoom Team59c86.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid54c81.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.992,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team47c78.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.386949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed BetBoom Team64c77.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Team Liquid57c52.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8933743.6%147 W · 190 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed BetBoom Team61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.553757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed BetBoom Team34c34.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8611836.4%43 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Team Liquid48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2511051.8%57 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed BetBoom Team47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.053839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4566…8063backed Team Liquid52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43476.5%26 W · 8 L+6.6wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+41%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked BetBoom Team54c27.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed BetBoom Team55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7552243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d9…e0cebacked Team Liquid46c24.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.326150.8%31 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid67c23.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.641,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Liquid75c20.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2534063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed BetBoom Team55c20.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x836a…4dfabacked Team Liquid80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid67c19.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.451,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Team Liquid79c19.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.111348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.