Tennis · resolved market
Menorca: Alex Martinez vs Tiago Pereira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473620fcca7a730146d92a1a0c2bbe65c77699b660ae1c094e05d80fc5bd508d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Martinezof Alex Martinez, Tiago Pereira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Tiago Pereira | 4c | 19,950$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.82 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tiago Pereira | 13c | 5,931$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.47 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alex Martinez | 58c | 2,462$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.94 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tiago Pereira | 24c | 2,413$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.12 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Tiago Pereira | 56c | 1,560$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.1 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Tiago Pereira | 13c | 1,398$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tiago Pereira | 41c | 963$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.19 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Tiago Pereira | 52c | 929.33$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.68 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Martinez | 46c | 701.39$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.98 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Tiago Pereira | 25c | 469.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Martinez | 54c | 468.91$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Tiago Pereira | 54c | 312.95$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Martinez | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…87b8backed Tiago Pereira | 47c | 294.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Tiago Pereira | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alex Martinez | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…b08ebacked Tiago Pereira | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Alex Martinez | 47c | 124.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Martinez | 72c | 107.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Tiago Pereira | 33c | 103.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Tiago Pereira | 35c | 100.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tiago Pereira | 27c | 99.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Tiago Pereira | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Tiago Pereira | 52c | 92.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Alex Martinez | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Tiago Pereira | 35c | 84.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Tiago Pereira | 56c | 69.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c8…d2d0backed Alex Martinez | 53c | 68.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Alex Martinez | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Alex Martinez | 45c | 60.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Tiago Pereira | 52c | 57.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tiago Pereira | 28c | 49.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Alex Martinez | 49c | 39.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…0c0bbacked Tiago Pereira | 28c | 37.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alex Martinez | 44c | 36.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tiago Pereira | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…128abacked Tiago Pereira | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Alex Martinez | 49c | 34.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Tiago Pereira | 53c | 31.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Tiago Pereira | 48c | 30.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Alex Martinez | 48c | 29.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8ecebacked Tiago Pereira | 56c | 27.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Alex Martinez | 53c | 25.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…8e44backed Alex Martinez | 49c | 22.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Tiago Pereira | 49c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Alex Martinez | 69c | 20.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alex Martinez | 60c | 17.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.