TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,206 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x162c…6c47backed Over53c6,826$3,641 inWon+$3,184.288763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under39c1,578$616 inLost-$616.362,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c1,256$665 inLost-$665.333,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c1,032$472 inLost-$472.018,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost-$4607248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under47c812.24$383 inLost-$382.626835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under47c514.35$244 inLost-$243.7355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…7b1abacked Over57c359.98$205 inWon+$154.791936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c285.65$122 inLost-$122.055,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under46c256.45$118 inLost-$118.0764633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe602…f92cbacked Under27c223.11$60 inLost-$60.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under44c181.87$81 inLost-$80.913856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under44c170$75 inLost-$75.235240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Over54c111.11$60 inWon+$51.117463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Over74c88.98$66 inWon+$23.136762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c86.67$40 inLost-$40.282,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c84.75$35 inLost-$34.661,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon+$34.751866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd3…0bb6backed Over50c80$40 inWon+$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over48c50$24 inWon+$263148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under26c49.57$13 inLost-$12.891,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over52c40$21 inWon+$19.225147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under38c27.47$10 inLost-$10.4167548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over56c17.86$10 inWon+$7.865052%26 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.