Premier League · resolved market
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4750d7b59825f73dea2be4af61c49a34d4b33c7e81cdd7d7c97204dca872ea9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.95 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 45c | 2,830$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.87 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,710$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 1,974$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 51c | 1,436$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.5 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 50c | 1,320$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 54c | 1,025$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.15 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 42c | 756.78$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.26 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 736.35$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.78 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 433.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 386.03$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 380.71$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 54c | 372.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 267.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 266$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…9147backed Over | 53c | 123.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 59.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Over | 50c | 41.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 50c | 28.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…f50ebacked Under | 48c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 19.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.