Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x477112b2d7923650981c9f33950a49560b7cf6cee1a7c553ee4d7d2c36d084b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 1,468$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 848.44$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 769.26$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.87 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 59c | 595.8$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 423.3$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 351.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…8bd6backed Yes | 29c | 264.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 72c | 240.88$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 16c | 179.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…4f52backed No | 29c | 146.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 143.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 22c | 113.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 71c | 92.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 72c | 83.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 29c | 76.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 62.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 61.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 59.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 30c | 58.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 70c | 42.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 70c | 39.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 46c | 35.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Yes | 62c | 33.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 79c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Yes | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Yes | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?this page
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.