Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2815be44eae2e3ca39638656c85ed84ba5228b28466f0aadc71fb06e69abe93b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 14c | 9,845$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.98 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes | 36c | 7,538$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 5,703$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 3,752$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 3,743$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 41c | 3,716$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.05 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 37c | 2,411$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.74 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 2,048$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.84 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 1,422$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.66 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed No | 66c | 857.41$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.52 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 42c | 816.09$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.79 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 38c | 813.72$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.03 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed No | 67c | 736.11$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.15 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 40c | 718.9$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 679.78$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 600$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 600$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 598.07$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 35c | 377.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 374.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.07 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 14c | 339.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked No | 62c | 322.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 38c | 288.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…130bbacked Yes | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 38c | 264.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 233.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 41c | 232.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 31c | 212.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 12c | 208.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 203.16$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 60c | 188.81$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 33c | 173.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 14c | 170.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 60c | 160.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 150.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 147.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Yes | 36c | 141.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 9c | 130.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 104.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Yes | 37c | 72.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 38c | 68.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 36c | 53.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…bb07backed Yes | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed No | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 50.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…2206backed Yes | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 67c | 44.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 71c | 44.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 63c | 44.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed No | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 35c | 41.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 33.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 33.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 41c | 32.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 31.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…4ca9backed No | 78c | 31.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 66c | 31.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Yes | 53c | 30.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 40c | 29.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 70c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 65c | 24.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked No | 65c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 64c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 64c | 23.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 63c | 19.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 64c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.