Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cf8007912dc7b2d48f8b7a019e0dd72dc90af04cd509814e7cbe035eab46f29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 20c | 7,587$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.92 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 77c | 6,622$5,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.17 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 6,413$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.94 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 23c | 3,318$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.05 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,208$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 1,977$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.37 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 1,270$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 1,049$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 781.88$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.54 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 726.07$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 575.03$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 24c | 440.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 12c | 395.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 18c | 393.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 37c | 370.43$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 326.6$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 25c | 299.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…5473backed Yes | 33c | 287.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 282.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 77c | 253.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes | 33c | 241.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…f8b7backed Yes | 31c | 230.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 31c | 198.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 76c | 180.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 64c | 180.4$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 177.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 150.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…0ccebacked Yes | 33c | 150.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 33c | 148.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Yes | 10c | 146.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…6081backed Yes | 31c | 146.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 141.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 124.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 67c | 113.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 17c | 109.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 80.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 71.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Yes | 21c | 70.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 61.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…0b3bbacked Yes | 39c | 60.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Yes | 35c | 50.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 40.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 29c | 36.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…dd1dbacked Yes | 37c | 35.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 34c | 33.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 29.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 72c | 25.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 80c | 24.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed No | 80c | 18.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 80c | 17.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.