Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kranjska Gora: Tito Chavez vs Calvin Mueller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4786b1101272eac8cd32c5594fd419756c7b0636763a6611e64488af0d20203e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tito Chavezof Tito Chavez, Calvin Mueller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tito Chavez | 76c | 302.34$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Tito Chavez | 60c | 238.91$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 487 | 56.5%275 W · 212 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Tito Chavez | 29c | 217.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Calvin Mueller | 30c | 214.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Calvin Mueller | 72c | 210$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Calvin Mueller | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Calvin Mueller | 70c | 190$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Tito Chavez | 29c | 185.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Calvin Mueller | 22c | 182.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Calvin Mueller | 71c | 181.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Calvin Mueller | 73c | 175.16$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 402 | 54.5%219 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Calvin Mueller | 19c | 123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tito Chavez | 28c | 122.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Calvin Mueller | 71c | 120.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Calvin Mueller | 26c | 101.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…e803backed Tito Chavez | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Tito Chavez | 27c | 74.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Tito Chavez | 29c | 74.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Calvin Mueller | 53c | 71.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Calvin Mueller | 24c | 70.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tito Chavez | 71c | 54.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tito Chavez | 29c | 49.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Tito Chavez | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Calvin Mueller | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Calvin Mueller | 29c | 35.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Tito Chavez | 72c | 33.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Calvin Mueller | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Calvin Mueller | 40c | 26.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Tito Chavez | 73c | 25.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Tito Chavez | 52c | 19.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Calvin Mueller | 76c | 14.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.