Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a0b86ac53d4b1a104f855b329f6b3e6ada9f4a2f442d6fb70076969df86913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 4,598$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 36c | 4,048$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.01 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…c2b8backed Under | 58c | 1,710$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 1,443$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.57 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 45c | 1,418$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 853$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.27 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 600$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 517$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 442.67$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 338.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.89 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Over | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 58c | 274$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 62c | 158.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 68c | 115.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 32c | 115.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 95.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 93.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 62c | 45.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 41.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 62c | 39.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 56c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 78c | 34.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 27.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 56c | 27.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 56c | 25.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 53c | 24.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC: Paksi FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Paksi FC (-1.5)Panathinaikós AO won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)Paksi FC won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-2.5)Paksi FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.