Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Maryland Terrapins (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a833c1210786b84c9c29bcbb82ec157fe7b1f3a77f9ff99b38d518813e4fb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Maryland Terrapins, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 609.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 496.92$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Maryland Terrapins | 49c | 292.54$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 251.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Maryland Terrapins | 55c | 199.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maryland Terrapins | 11c | 141.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 118.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 53c | 56.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb92…a880backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 44.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…3409backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 41.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fb…5a80backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 41.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 46c | 40.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb222…2241backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 37.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Maryland Terrapins | 47c | 36.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…e461backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 35.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…5696backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 33.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4a50backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 30.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…34a4backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 30.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 46c | 26.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Maryland Terrapins (-4.5)this page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Maryland TerrapinsRutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 141.5Under won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Maryland Terrapins (-5.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.