Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ebb63651b31b8e4b790bd96b1f3da0f80148037e0f5b247bf057b5531f3ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa781…8745backed Collignon | 4c | 1,509$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Zverev | 75c | 1,261$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Collignon | 25c | 843.31$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Collignon | 34c | 571.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zverev | 66c | 565.45$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.53 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Collignon | 26c | 463.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Collignon | 35c | 437.39$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Collignon | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Collignon | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Collignon | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Zverev | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Zverev | 52c | 267.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Zverev | 60c | 264.6$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Zverev | 75c | 262.95$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…eb2dbacked Zverev | 77c | 258.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Collignon | 32c | 250.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Zverev | 80c | 248.25$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Collignon | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Collignon | 36c | 191.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Collignon | 25c | 180.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Collignon | 25c | 177.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…8893backed Zverev | 58c | 150.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…efc3backed Zverev | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Collignon | 39c | 95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Zverev | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Zverev | 74c | 73.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 515 | 45.8%236 W · 279 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Collignon | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Collignon | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Zverev | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Collignon | 22c | 59.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Collignon | 26c | 52.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Collignon | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Zverev | 59c | 51.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Collignon | 25c | 51.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4877…718ebacked Zverev | 75c | 51.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Zverev | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Collignon | 32c | 43.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Zverev | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed Zverev | 76c | 34.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Collignon | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 353 | 29.7%105 W · 248 L | -34.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Collignon | 33c | 31.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Zverev | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Zverev | 64c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Collignon | 48c | 22.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Zverev | 75c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Collignonthis page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Raphael Collignon: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Raphael CollignonAlexander Zverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs CollignonZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)Zverev won
- Zverev vs. Collignon: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.