TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Shelbourne FC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,475 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over18c2,457$443 inLost-$442.911,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c2,188$1,721 inWon+$467.373,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under62c974.23$599 inWon+$374.951764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over33c751.95$247 inLost-$246.782,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over14c669$94 inLost-$94.1627039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef57…827dbacked Over24c529.99$127 inLost-$127.23141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over7c402$28 inLost-$28.1414931.5%47 W · 102 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under71c250$178 inWon+$72.56556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c146.47$39 inLost-$39.442,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under78c138.14$107 inWon+$31.0545348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over19c127.75$24 inLost-$23.6423461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under71c100$71 inWon+$2911260.7%68 W · 44 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over18c83.75$15 inLost-$14.689923.2%23 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under79c79$62 inWon+$16.7678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under76c76.5$58 inWon+$18.361546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed Over15c70$11 inLost-$10.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under79c61$48 inWon+$13.0327554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Under78c41.33$32 inWon+$9.144544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over28c37.04$10 inLost-$10.3256849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under79c33.36$26 inWon+$7.129470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under78c29.72$23 inWon+$6.6658061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Under75c13.45$10 inWon+$3.353666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.