CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x488393417aae6a6979295ad8885862bebe4da91b9059b4e89d8ea09081f0fc19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof Brute, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NAVI Junior | 58c | 2,404$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.51 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Brute | 45c | 503.88$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.48 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Brute | 42c | 472$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.44 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Brute | 44c | 404.03$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NAVI Junior | 25c | 380.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.7 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Brute | 45c | 304$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.41 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed NAVI Junior | 17c | 301.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.62 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Brute | 45c | 286.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Brute | 52c | 225.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Brute | 51c | 206$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Brute | 56c | 203.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Brute | 53c | 184.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Brute | 58c | 179.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed NAVI Junior | 59c | 175.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Brute | 62c | 174.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute | 55c | 155.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Brute | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brute | 51c | 141.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Brute | 45c | 102.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Brute | 32c | 97.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed NAVI Junior | 62c | 90.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 89.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed NAVI Junior | 47c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…abf5backed Brute | 25c | 72.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Brute | 42c | 72.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Brute | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Brute | 51c | 54.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked NAVI Junior | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Brute | 46c | 31.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…f7e5backed NAVI Junior | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Brute | 50c | 23.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Brute | 54c | 18.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Brute | 76c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 PlayoffsNAVI Junior won
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 WinnerBrute won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Brute (-3.5) vs NAVI Junior (+3.5)NAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.