Tennis · resolved market
ITF The Hague: Weronika Falkowska vs Carolina Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4884b8b3ec5dfb6628f09b434767e83d5ccae4224b56673fb515029e43e4495a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weronika Falkowskaof Weronika Falkowska, Carolina Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carolina Alves | 47c | 15,041$7,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.97 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Weronika Falkowska | 71c | 9,120$6,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Weronika Falkowska | 35c | 4,668$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.96 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carolina Alves | 29c | 899.34$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Weronika Falkowska | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Weronika Falkowska | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Weronika Falkowska | 63c | 555.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carolina Alves | 40c | 500.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Carolina Alves | 35c | 428.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Weronika Falkowska | 53c | 319.13$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Carolina Alves | 35c | 277$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Weronika Falkowska | 64c | 269$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Weronika Falkowska | 39c | 254.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Weronika Falkowska | 62c | 242.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Weronika Falkowska | 41c | 216.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carolina Alves | 36c | 190.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Weronika Falkowska | 64c | 171.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Carolina Alves | 63c | 159.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Carolina Alves | 52c | 124.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Weronika Falkowska | 41c | 113.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Carolina Alves | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Carolina Alves | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carolina Alves | 42c | 94.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Carolina Alves | 36c | 93.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Weronika Falkowska | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Carolina Alves | 39c | 57.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Weronika Falkowska | 46c | 56.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Carolina Alves | 39c | 53.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Carolina Alves | 38c | 50.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…a566backed Carolina Alves | 31c | 41.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Weronika Falkowska | 68c | 36.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Carolina Alves | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Carolina Alves | 36c | 34.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Weronika Falkowska | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…9642backed Weronika Falkowska | 65c | 30.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Weronika Falkowska | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Carolina Alves | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Weronika Falkowska | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Weronika Falkowska | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Weronika Falkowska | 43c | 28.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Carolina Alves | 40c | 27.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carolina Alves | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carolina Alves | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Weronika Falkowska | 73c | 20.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Weronika Falkowska | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.