Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Anastasiya Kuparev vs Kateryna Lazarenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48876733db9e924fdc4dba81e59da9c1f45c45ba26e2a9bbe9556fc2b2ff2dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kateryna Lazarenkoof Anastasiya Kuparev, Kateryna Lazarenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kateryna Lazarenko | 79c | 6,330$5,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.52 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anastasiya Kuparev | 22c | 2,759$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 10c | 2,224$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.58 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 17c | 944.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anastasiya Kuparev | 17c | 887.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Anastasiya Kuparev | 17c | 647.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 14c | 510.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 15c | 362.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Kateryna Lazarenko | 73c | 309.41$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Kateryna Lazarenko | 77c | 275.13$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 17c | 206$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Anastasiya Kuparev | 26c | 196.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Anastasiya Kuparev | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Anastasiya Kuparev | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 27c | 153.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6b36backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 16c | 112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 26c | 101$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Anastasiya Kuparev | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Kateryna Lazarenko | 71c | 84.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 21c | 83.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 21c | 70.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 23c | 58.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 28c | 48.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Anastasiya Kuparev | 25c | 45.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Anastasiya Kuparev | 32c | 39.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…d981backed Kateryna Lazarenko | 76c | 16.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.