Tennis · resolved market
ITF Taipei: Hiromi Abe vs Kayo Nishimura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48c04f944ed61d9b30139f4f4b3da6d2d0e0525efa0835e537ed620343df783a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiromi Abeof Hiromi Abe, Kayo Nishimura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kayo Nishimura | 32c | 13,072$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.42 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Hiromi Abe | 76c | 12,262$9,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.82 | 234 | 62.8%147 W · 87 L | +16.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kayo Nishimura | 42c | 10,027$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.38 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Hiromi Abe | 63c | 9,758$6,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hiromi Abe | 58c | 6,422$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.51 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kayo Nishimura | 23c | 3,535$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.9 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Kayo Nishimura | 34c | 2,938$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hiromi Abe | 58c | 2,626$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.39 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hiromi Abe | 59c | 1,390$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.58 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Hiromi Abe | 65c | 1,113$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.12 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kayo Nishimura | 25c | 970.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.98 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kayo Nishimura | 17c | 696.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kayo Nishimura | 30c | 657.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.37 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kayo Nishimura | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kayo Nishimura | 27c | 374.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Hiromi Abe | 59c | 374$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Hiromi Abe | 70c | 286.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Kayo Nishimura | 30c | 262$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Hiromi Abe | 66c | 195.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Hiromi Abe | 64c | 167.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kayo Nishimura | 31c | 139.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Kayo Nishimura | 26c | 129$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Hiromi Abe | 61c | 119$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hiromi Abe | 59c | 115.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Hiromi Abe | 59c | 108.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kayo Nishimura | 34c | 96.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…eebcbacked Hiromi Abe | 56c | 88.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…0f76backed Hiromi Abe | 56c | 88.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…d0ffbacked Hiromi Abe | 57c | 87.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Hiromi Abe | 65c | 76.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Hiromi Abe | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Hiromi Abe | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Hiromi Abe | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Hiromi Abe | 74c | 65.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked Hiromi Abe | 74c | 65.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Hiromi Abe | 74c | 65.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Hiromi Abe | 75c | 65.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hiromi Abe | 68c | 64.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Kayo Nishimura | 19c | 61.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hiromi Abe | 56c | 59.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Hiromi Abe | 68c | 57.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Hiromi Abe | 57c | 56.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Hiromi Abe | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hiromi Abe | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…b303backed Kayo Nishimura | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Hiromi Abe | 63c | 41.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Hiromi Abe | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Hiromi Abe | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…cdb2backed Hiromi Abe | 57c | 34.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e5…02a5backed Kayo Nishimura | 48c | 32.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Hiromi Abe | 58c | 31.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Hiromi Abe | 67c | 26.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Hiromi Abe | 73c | 25.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Hiromi Abe | 63c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ec…db9dbacked Kayo Nishimura | 56c | 22.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Hiromi Abe | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Hiromi Abe | 70c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.