Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48dc7093448862858566cad9e6d3109e5993d07173da1f57e0cd225b246f90f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 30c | 520.65$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 70c | 245$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 33c | 165.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Under | 68c | 130.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Over | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 70c | 109.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 70c | 103.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 278 | 56.5%157 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…f625backed Under | 80c | 96.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 390 | 53.1%207 W · 183 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Over | 20c | 86.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 69c | 76.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Under | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 380 | 51.1%194 W · 186 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 68c | 65.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 67c | 57.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 30c | 52.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Under | 67c | 31.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 67c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed Under | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…78d4backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ADplus KIA won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.