Lol · resolved market
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21dad11ddb95ec619e10991483547dbf5fee73c5ebf506a957bc44b7a9d8ad45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof FURIA Esports, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5286…0d47backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed FURIA Esports | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked FURIA Esports | 10c | 9,925$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.44 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 9,005$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.64 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 6,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 6,210$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.89 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked FURIA Esports | 9c | 5,400$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 4,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 3,504$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.68 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked FURIA Esports | 14c | 3,170$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FURIA Esports | 9c | 2,230$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 2,117$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 2,094$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 153 | 33.3%51 W · 102 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 2,018$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.91 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,890$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,886$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 1,831$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…fc8abacked FURIA Esports | 6c | 1,574$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…794ebacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 1,489$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 1,334$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…3d61backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 1,136$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef3…4a73backed FURIA Esports | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…0d9ebacked FURIA Esports | 9c | 1,070$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FURIA Esports | 4c | 1,048$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 1,016$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…4122backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 1,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked FURIA Esports | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 963.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 953.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked FURIA Esports | 3c | 894.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked FURIA Esports | 11c | 621.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 587.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 583.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 525.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 502.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked FURIA Esports | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed FURIA Esports | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…55ccbacked FURIA Esports | 6c | 499.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked FURIA Esports | 11c | 437.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 419.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked FURIA Esports | 9c | 418.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 134 | 29.1%39 W · 95 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 393.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed FURIA Esports | 9c | 311.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 301.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked FURIA Esports | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 148 | 7.4%11 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked FURIA Esports | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x928c…331ebacked FURIA Esports | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +10.1wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked FURIA Esports | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…aa85backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 292.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 241.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 231.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 215.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 213.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed FURIA Esports | 9c | 179.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 135.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed FURIA Esports | 9c | 129.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 170 | 32.4%55 W · 115 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked FURIA Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 355 | 16.3%58 W · 297 L | -25.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Athis page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.