Lol · resolved market
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcec278aed21bc211e0afb8f50ab5d0939231ab0ef28654b7ea077dd0af14f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof FURIA Esports, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 11,515$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.59 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…41f3backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 10,154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 62 | 3.2%2 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 7,135$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.19 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 5,472$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.86 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked FURIA Esports | 16c | 3,674$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.55 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed FURIA Esports | 14c | 2,776$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.58 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…a486backed FURIA Esports | 14c | 2,142$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 2,078$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.31 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 2,013$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked FURIA Esports | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 1,750$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 1,728$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports | 13c | 1,519$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA Esports | 18c | 1,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked FURIA Esports | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea4…be49backed FURIA Esports | 5c | 1,485$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 127 | 17.3%22 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked FURIA Esports | 9c | 1,390$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed FURIA Esports | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 583 | 3.6%21 W · 562 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked FURIA Esports | 4c | 1,144$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…00e9backed FURIA Esports | 2c | 997$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 667.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…b275backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9bb3backed FURIA Esports | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FURIA Esports | 12c | 590.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed FURIA Esports | 15c | 583.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 503.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed FURIA Esports | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FURIA Esports | 12c | 450$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked FURIA Esports | 16c | 440.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked FURIA Esports | 12c | 418.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked FURIA Esports | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 267 | 34.5%92 W · 175 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FURIA Esports | 12c | 395.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked FURIA Esports | 11c | 333$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked FURIA Esports | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked FURIA Esports | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 258$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FURIA Esports | 9c | 211.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…076ebacked FURIA Esports | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0420…58bbbacked FURIA Esports | 13c | 195.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…bd85backed FURIA Esports | 9c | 160.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FURIA Esports | 11c | 156$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…2678backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…ae26backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 148.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed FURIA Esports | 14c | 143.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed FURIA Esports | 10c | 118.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 237 | 42.2%100 W · 137 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed FURIA Esports | 19c | 106.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be1…fdafbacked FURIA Esports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked FURIA Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 89.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 393 | 52.4%206 W · 187 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked FURIA Esports | 13c | 78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 18.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dplus KIA | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Dplus KIA | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ADplus KIA won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.