Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Alice Tubello
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48e1205545cb17f67fe2fd0edaf9b93bbea9841d9240392e165d0b3826e33011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donna Vekicof Donna Vekic, Alice Tubello
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alice Tubello | 1c | 6,448$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Alice Tubello | 10c | 3,599$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.92 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alice Tubello | 26c | 1,598$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.79 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Donna Vekic | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Alice Tubello | 15c | 1,240$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alice Tubello | 31c | 1,098$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.17 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Alice Tubello | 21c | 999.97$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Alice Tubello | 26c | 999.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Alice Tubello | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Donna Vekic | 71c | 704.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Donna Vekic | 75c | 526.32$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…cf54backed Donna Vekic | 74c | 488.23$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alice Tubello | 29c | 450.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.79 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Alice Tubello | 25c | 440.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Donna Vekic | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Donna Vekic | 75c | 404$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Donna Vekic | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 222 | 43.2%96 W · 126 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Donna Vekic | 77c | 398.65$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Alice Tubello | 26c | 395.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alice Tubello | 15c | 361.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Alice Tubello | 25c | 263.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 464 | 39.7%184 W · 280 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alice Tubello | 17c | 219.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Alice Tubello | 16c | 168.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alice Tubello | 26c | 165.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Donna Vekic | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Alice Tubello | 26c | 156.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Alice Tubello | 13c | 153.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Donna Vekic | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 244 | 61.1%149 W · 95 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Donna Vekic | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alice Tubello | 34c | 97.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…72b4backed Alice Tubello | 13c | 97.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Alice Tubello | 27c | 97.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Donna Vekic | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Donna Vekic | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…6eacbacked Alice Tubello | 31c | 65.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Alice Tubello | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…b20ebacked Alice Tubello | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…e9bdbacked Alice Tubello | 26c | 56.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Alice Tubello | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Alice Tubello | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Alice Tubello | 29c | 46.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Donna Vekic | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…9e76backed Donna Vekic | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked Donna Vekic | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Donna Vekic | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Donna Vekic | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…2bd9backed Donna Vekic | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Donna Vekic | 76c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 83 | 71.1%59 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Donna Vekic | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Donna Vekic | 73c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Donna Vekic | 74c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc4…73e3backed Donna Vekic | 76c | 13.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.