TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c8,581$3,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,776.914,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8003930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No64c3,403$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.588940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c1,779$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.5290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes34c1,591$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.913951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No36c1,108$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.5174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3404654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No66c922.38$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.619347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No35c876.64$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.8269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No52c857.84$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.846755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No35c777.38$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No64c600.16$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9924047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed No35c549.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.52737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes3c548.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes34c515.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.26035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No63c347$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3917252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No64c215$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.48961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7021355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes32c198.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No37c161.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5521842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa928…4552backed No63c156$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes34c147.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2253246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No65c144.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.476855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x275b…3e99backed No63c129.2$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed No71c108.72$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3411559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.912860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50e…2e5fbacked Yes37c90$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e27…f77bbacked Yes37c89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Yes34c80.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.473655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c80.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbeb…ab0cbacked Yes37c77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9951…f1fabacked Yes37c76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ee3…958abacked No63c76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1200…1584backed Yes37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebf…8b63backed Yes37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb505…9854backed No63c69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.534100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8e…33b6backed Yes37c66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81b…7529backed No63c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa41e…3db6backed Yes37c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe670…9201backed No63c61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.57650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617a…d1a2backed Yes37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x191d…f07cbacked No63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes34c59.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.316855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x45af…035bbacked Yes37c59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f62…acb2backed Yes37c59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d8…be71backed Yes37c58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b8…7512backed Yes37c58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf051…9db5backed No63c56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87631.6%24 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df9…886cbacked No63c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.35560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe37…6f4cbacked No63c53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…9f64backed No63c53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.613100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0c…7785backed Yes37c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ba…3e00backed No63c53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a38…10a3backed Yes37c52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7407…11b9backed No63c51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232d…58f7backed No63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9cc…d8c1backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…349dbacked Yes37c49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c70…16afbacked Yes37c47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e0f…53b9backed No63c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4355…6a98backed Yes37c46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92dc…602cbacked No63c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Yes36c45.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5410248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f52…80d6backed Yes37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No64c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0718…5ae1backed Yes37c44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9eb…e7a8backed Yes37c43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…7931backed Yes37c43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…cddebacked No63c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1632…1298backed Yes37c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d7…9a7abacked No63c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50d0…33eebacked No63c41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.17580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…bd56backed No63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4215051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…287dbacked No63c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4046…97ffbacked Yes37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e2…292abacked Yes37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc7…75cfbacked Yes37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2f…d747backed Yes37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd5…0340backed Yes37c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f65…dfefbacked No63c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec09…5093backed Yes37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08d4…c652backed Yes37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4473…7fe9backed Yes37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0c…0dc4backed Yes37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e11…384fbacked Yes37c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cc…014abacked Yes37c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…ac8cbacked No63c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6efb…646fbacked Yes37c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d13…8004backed Yes37c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd048…69a7backed No63c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.583100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6757…eec2backed Yes37c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0e…5f36backed No63c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9861…eb5fbacked No63c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.