NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x495733d55946717c4ff6582c7adfc828905cff6739f358263218623ddba73285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,195$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.27 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 1,970$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.29 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,372$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wild | 40c | 1,262$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.35 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 39c | 1,228$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.32 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 41c | 1,018$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.98 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Wild | 36c | 889.69$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.4 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Wild | 78c | 830.83$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…72b5backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 827.02$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 762.41$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Maple Leafs | 11c | 747.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wild | 41c | 501.57$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Wild | 75c | 444$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 404.48$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.69 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild | 39c | 401.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.7 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 396.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 65c | 266.57$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Wild | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Wild | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wild | 39c | 221.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Maple Leafs | 13c | 219.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 217.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild | 40c | 178.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 176.37$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 19c | 162.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…dcdabacked Wild | 40c | 156.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Wild | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…f415backed Wild | 41c | 112.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…58c3backed Wild | 40c | 111.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…4621backed Wild | 41c | 108.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a08abacked Wild | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Wild | 41c | 101.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Wild | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Wild | 39c | 99.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Wild | 38c | 99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…a488backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 90.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa490…ba96backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 90.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 88.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x092d…8756backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 83.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…6c7ebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 82.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…6a22backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 74.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…d3dbbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 73.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wild | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wild | 37c | 68.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Wild | 59c | 62.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 62.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6c…c709backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 59.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…d04fbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2348backed Wild | 40c | 38.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0a…6b93backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 38.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Wild | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…676fbacked Wild | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…9e0cbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…8865backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 37.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…19bdbacked Wild | 40c | 37.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e8…830abacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 35.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761f…624ebacked Wild | 40c | 34.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9f…6d7fbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 33.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…e800backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 32.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…7426backed Wild | 40c | 32.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…dd06backed Wild | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…17f4backed Wild | 40c | 28.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…b52fbacked Wild | 41c | 27.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db6…d160backed Wild | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd8…6c13backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 27.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…d241backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 27.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…0454backed Wild | 41c | 27.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…9911backed Wild | 41c | 26.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0b…5806backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 26.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0a…66a7backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 26.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…4b43backed Wild | 41c | 26.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…23d0backed Wild | 42c | 25.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Wild | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…ff63backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 24.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…1078backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 23.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da2…325fbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 22.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d10…efd8backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 21.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…53c8backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 20.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…01aebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 20.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…c462backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…5de8backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 17.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.