MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4958cc467444b7e976181c24e3c6b7f7a8e1cbb1dbbc19e4709dc3cf36684e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 2c | 3,231$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 57c | 1,741$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NC Dinos | 43c | 1,554$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.08 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 43c | 677.41$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.27 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed SSG Landers | 46c | 618.39$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.37 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed NC Dinos | 37c | 280.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 55c | 239$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 45c | 128.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed NC Dinos | 56c | 74.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed NC Dinos | 36c | 74.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 61c | 72.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed NC Dinos | 32c | 53.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…1461backed NC Dinos | 38c | 35.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed SSG Landers | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed NC Dinos | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked NC Dinos | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked NC Dinos | 58c | 33.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed NC Dinos | 43c | 28.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed SSG Landers | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.