Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Lola Giza vs Tena Lukas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x497725bf60cc0f9695012ef24de71725d3cb80c802a1de73aa264381e8a1353a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lola Gizaof Lola Giza, Tena Lukas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tena Lukas | 61c | 1,676$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.55 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Lola Giza | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 323 | 37.5%121 W · 202 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Lola Giza | 34c | 290.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 303 | 55.8%169 W · 134 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lola Giza | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lola Giza | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Lola Giza | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Lola Giza | 64c | 139.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 221 | 50.7%112 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tena Lukas | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Tena Lukas | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tena Lukas | 61c | 81.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tena Lukas | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tena Lukas | 63c | 32.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Tena Lukas | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Tena Lukas | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tena Lukas | 60c | 25.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lola Giza | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Tena Lukas | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.