Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4977cb7109528814ff50132970eb3ebd15b00e26e42098d51d9dba1868ef5820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Team Envy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Envy | 15c | 25,883$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.6 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed Team Envy | 17c | 15,943$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.14 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Team Envy | 15c | 11,698$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.42 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Team Envy | 16c | 9,036$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Envy | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Team Envy | 17c | 1,235$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Envy | 13c | 1,118$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Team Envy | 15c | 954.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…34a4backed Team Envy | 11c | 908.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Team Envy | 15c | 805.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Team Envy | 17c | 668.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Envy | 17c | 602.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Team Envy | 16c | 481.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed Team Envy | 11c | 481.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Team Envy | 12c | 423.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Team Envy | 17c | 420$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Team Envy | 19c | 409.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked G2 Esports | 80c | 336.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Team Envy | 16c | 332.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…2a83backed Team Envy | 17c | 321.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Team Envy | 13c | 289.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Team Envy | 18c | 286.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Team Envy | 5c | 268.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Envy | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…f0c8backed Team Envy | 5c | 210.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ae…f667backed Team Envy | 9c | 203.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Team Envy | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Envy | 15c | 198$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Esports | 78c | 197.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Team Envy | 11c | 179.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Team Envy | 12c | 178.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Envy | 6c | 171.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Team Envy | 9c | 158.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Team Envy | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Team Envy | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Esports | 80c | 119.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…7e95backed Team Envy | 17c | 118.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Team Envy | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…9491backed Team Envy | 17c | 117.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Team Envy | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Team Envy | 15c | 97.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed G2 Esports | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Envy | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…cc1cbacked Team Envy | 18c | 74.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Team Envy | 16c | 65.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…6a21backed Team Envy | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…60d6backed Team Envy | 18c | 54.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.