Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a3bad4420ab5d90bb227a9829175da911f8c4ac2e091276dee9f01614ad5c48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Team Envy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Envy | 39c | 934.9$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.96 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…5b14backed G2 Esports | 62c | 791.08$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Team Envy | 42c | 377.12$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed G2 Esports | 60c | 359.75$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Envy | 38c | 291.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Esports | 59c | 261.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed G2 Esports | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Envy | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked G2 Esports | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Team Envy | 38c | 136$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked G2 Esports | 58c | 127.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked G2 Esports | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Team Envy | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…1a05backed Team Envy | 40c | 59.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed G2 Esports | 60c | 54.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Envy | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed G2 Esports | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…b4dabacked G2 Esports | 59c | 33.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…63d5backed G2 Esports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked G2 Esports | 63c | 29.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.