Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dublin: Chloe Noel vs Weronika Falkowska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4980d4a5e18c15d6a68a88de73c8382ed2be2496b8be94f8cc62625bb10488c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chloe Noelof Chloe Noel, Weronika Falkowska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Weronika Falkowska | 2c | 13,284$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Weronika Falkowska | 47c | 2,536$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chloe Noel | 61c | 1,717$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Weronika Falkowska | 1c | 1,311$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Weronika Falkowska | 1c | 1,311$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Chloe Noel | 39c | 681.53$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.53 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Chloe Noel | 46c | 509.05$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Chloe Noel | 45c | 376.02$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chloe Noel | 59c | 259.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chloe Noel | 57c | 199.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Weronika Falkowska | 55c | 187.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Weronika Falkowska | 48c | 161.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Weronika Falkowska | 48c | 160.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Chloe Noel | 60c | 104$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Chloe Noel | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Weronika Falkowska | 49c | 97.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Chloe Noel | 47c | 96.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Chloe Noel | 60c | 96.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Weronika Falkowska | 46c | 86.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Weronika Falkowska | 48c | 86.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Weronika Falkowska | 70c | 86.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Chloe Noel | 58c | 82.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Weronika Falkowska | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Weronika Falkowska | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Chloe Noel | 22c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Weronika Falkowska | 80c | 60.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Weronika Falkowska | 77c | 59.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Weronika Falkowska | 50c | 56.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chloe Noel | 53c | 55.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chloe Noel | 57c | 55.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chloe Noel | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Chloe Noel | 46c | 51.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Chloe Noel | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Chloe Noel | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Chloe Noel | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Chloe Noel | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Weronika Falkowska | 63c | 45.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Weronika Falkowska | 54c | 45.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Weronika Falkowska | 59c | 43.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Weronika Falkowska | 78c | 42.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Weronika Falkowska | 65c | 41.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chloe Noel | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Weronika Falkowska | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…1c36backed Chloe Noel | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Weronika Falkowska | 49c | 37.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Weronika Falkowska | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Chloe Noel | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Chloe Noel | 46c | 34.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Weronika Falkowska | 71c | 32.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Weronika Falkowska | 60c | 31.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Weronika Falkowska | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Chloe Noel | 63c | 29.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Weronika Falkowska | 47c | 26.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Weronika Falkowska | 43c | 25.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Weronika Falkowska | 55c | 25.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…4c72backed Weronika Falkowska | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Weronika Falkowska | 66c | 18.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.